OO 3007 · SFO → SAN

departs 9:27 AM PT · arrives 11:12 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SAN that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3007 · SFO → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?