OO 3056 · SNA → STS

departs 4:27 PM PT · arrives 6:13 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STS?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at STS that day

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3056 · SNA → STS

Odds over time

How late will it get to STS?