Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
OO 3076 · LAX → STS
departs 2:09 PM PT · arrives 3:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 16%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
STS is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.