OO 3101 · PDX → MFR

departs 5:31 PM PT · arrives 6:49 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MFR?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFR (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3101 · PDX → MFR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFR?