OO 3131 · PDX → SLC

departs 2:41 PM PT · arrives 5:42 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from PDX are often late

↑ PDX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3131 · PDX → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?