OO 3143 · GEG → SEA

departs 12:15 PM PT · arrives 1:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from GEG are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3143 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?