OO 3164 · SFO → PSP

departs 2:11 PM PT · arrives 3:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3164 · SFO → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?