Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3204 · SEA → PDX
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 2:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.