OO 3220 · PDX → STS

departs 7:28 AM PT · arrives 9:19 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to STS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at STS that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STS (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3220 · PDX → STS

Odds over time

How late will it get to STS?