OO 3361 · SFO → RDM

departs 4:42 PM PT · arrives 6:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDM?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

RDM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3361 · SFO → RDM

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDM?