OO 3432 · PSP → PDX

departs 4:25 PM PT · arrives 7:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3432 · PSP → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?