Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 3433 · SEA → BLI
departs 3:50 PM PT · arrives 4:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to BLI?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BLI
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BLI (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.