Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3476
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 3476 · LAX → STS
departs 5:00 PM PT · arrives 6:43 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 19%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 17%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
STS is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.