OO 356 · IAH → MGM

departs 2:20 PM CT · arrives 4:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±1 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MGM?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

MGM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 356 · IAH → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?