OO 3577 · AUS → MCI

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 7:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±5 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.67 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3.42857 mi Precip1.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3577 · AUS → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?