OO 359 · IAH → CRP

departs 12:00 PM CT · arrives 1:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CRP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

CRP (destination) Gusts31 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 359 · IAH → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?