OO 3669 · AUS → DEN

departs 4:49 PM CT · arrives 6:14 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±6 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.23 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3669 · AUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?