Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3712 · LAX → SMF
departs 4:38 PM PT · arrives 6:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 13% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.