OO 3720 · PVD → DTW

departs 4:52 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,571 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3720 · PVD → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?