Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3759
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3759 · LAX → SMF
departs 6:41 PM PT · arrives 8:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.