OO 3809 · DTW → ALB

departs 2:37 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling5,240 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.15 in

ALB (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3809 · DTW → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?