OO 3916 · BOI → SEA

departs 3:25 PM MT · arrives 4:06 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3916 · BOI → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?