Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 3929 · LAX → RNO
departs 9:59 PM PT · arrives 11:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 13%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
This flight has been late 12% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip none
RNO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.