Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 3941 · DTW → MBS
departs 2:05 PM ET · arrives 3:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MBS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MBS?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MBS that day
↑
2pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↓
MBS usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
MBS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.86 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.