Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3941
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3941 · MBS → DTW
departs 3:43 PM ET · arrives 4:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 9/30 17%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at MBS that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
3pm departures from MBS are usually not late
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.75 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.