OO 3955 · SLC → AUS

departs 10:45 AM MT · arrives 2:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±7 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.68 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3955 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?