Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
OO 3962 · MBS → DTW
departs 6:55 AM ET · arrives 7:49 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Wed 9/30 9%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave MBS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MBS that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from MBS are usually not late
Weather at each end
MBS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.91 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.