Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3965
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 3965 · TVC → DTW
departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 7:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30 31%
Today
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
TVC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.29 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.