Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4013 · DTW → LEX
departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 9:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
7pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
LEX (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.