OO 4020 · YVR → SEA

departs 11:11 AM PDT · arrives 12:13 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ 11am departures from YVR are usually not late

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4020 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?