OO 4027 · IND → AUS

departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±4 pts +35 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

AUS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4027 · IND → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?