Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4034 · SBN → DTW
departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±8 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SBN that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
SBN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.42 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.