Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4039 · SEA → BZN
departs 7:59 PM PT · arrives 10:49 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 14%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at BZN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BZN?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
BZN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BZN (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.