OO 4111 · SHV → ATL

departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 8:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SHV (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4111 · SHV → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?