Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4165
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
OO 4165 · GEG → SEA
departs 4:30 PM PT · arrives 5:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.