Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4244
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4244 · ESC → DTW
departs 6:13 AM ET · arrives 7:34 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 8%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave ESC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ESC that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ESC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.