OO 435 · ORD → OKC

departs 1:32 PM CT · arrives 3:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Cloud base down to 867 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at OKC that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.86 in

OKC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling867 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 435 · ORD → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?