Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4440
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4440 · DTW → ATW
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATW that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
DTW is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.16 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.