OO 4641 · DRO → DEN

departs 5:15 AM MT · arrives 6:55 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DRO that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DRO are usually not late

Weather at each end

DRO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4641 · DRO → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?