OO 4647 · ASE → DEN

departs 8:33 AM MT · arrives 9:40 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4647 · ASE → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?