OO 4654 · BZN → DEN

departs 10:39 AM MT · arrives 12:30 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ BZN usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4654 · BZN → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?