OO 4656 · COS → DEN

departs 5:31 AM MT · arrives 6:23 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4656 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?