Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4684
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4684 · DEN → SAF
departs 7:20 PM MT · arrives 8:41 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAF?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
SAF (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.