Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4686 · LIT → DEN
departs 1:35 PM CT · arrives 3:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
1pm departures from LIT are usually not late
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.