OO 4696 · COS → DEN

departs 7:05 AM MT · arrives 8:10 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt forecast at COS that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from COS are usually not late

Weather at each end

COS (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4696 · COS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?