Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4712
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4712 · DEN → TUL
departs 8:55 PM MT · arrives 11:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±10 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.