OO 4761 · MCI → DEN

departs 11:38 AM CT · arrives 12:33 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +25 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

DEN (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4761 · MCI → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?