Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4769
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4769 · ORD → ATW
departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 10:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATW that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.48 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.