OO 4775 · DEN → COS

departs 1:30 PM MT · arrives 2:27 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to COS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt forecast at COS that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ COS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

COS (destination) Gusts36 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4775 · DEN → COS

Odds over time

How late will it get to COS?