Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4789
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 4789 · ORD → FAR
departs 9:30 PM CT · arrives 11:48 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 16%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.74 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.